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Home Lifestyle Health

We Tried Prospective Risk Adjustment at 4 PM on Fridays. Here’s Why It Spectacularly Failed

Prime Star by Prime Star
November 7, 2025
in Health
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We Tried Prospective Risk Adjustment at 4 PM on Fridays. Here’s Why It Spectacularly Failed
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Friday, 4 PM. Dr. Chen has seen 31 patients, running 90 minutes behind. Our prospective risk adjustment alert pops up: “Please document CHF specificity for Mr. Johnson.” She clicks dismiss without reading. Another $3,000 HCC vanishes into the void.

We thought technology would fix everything. Alerts at the point of care! Real-time documentation improvement! What we actually built was an expensive system for annoying doctors at the worst possible moment.

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The Point-of-Care Fantasy

The vendor demo was beautiful. A doctor sees a patient, the system gently suggests missing diagnoses, documentation improves, revenue flows. Reality check: doctors seeing patients aren’t thinking about risk adjustment. They’re thinking about the patient’s chest pain, the waiting room backing up, and the seventeen other things demanding attention.

We deployed alerts in January. By February, providers had figured out how to disable them. By March, the ones who couldn’t disable them had learned to click through without reading. Our alert response rate was 94%. Our actual documentation improvement rate was 3%.

Dr. Williams put it perfectly: “When I’m listening to heart sounds, I’m not interested in your coding suggestions. When Mrs. Garcia is crying about her cancer diagnosis, your HCC alerts are offensive.”

The point of care is the worst possible time for risk adjustment. Providers are juggling clinical decisions, patient emotions, and time pressure. Adding coding complexity to that moment doesn’t improve documentation; it degrades care.

The Morning Solution

We killed all point-of-care alerts on a Tuesday. Providers actually applauded. Then we moved prospective risk adjustment to where it belongs: before the chaos starts.

Every morning at 7 AM, providers get a simple email. Not 47 alerts. One email. “Today’s patients with documentation opportunities.” Three bullets per patient max. Takes 90 seconds to review with coffee.

Dr. Chen now knows before Mr. Johnson arrives that his CHF needs specificity documentation. She asks about symptoms naturally during the visit. Documents completely because she’s prepared, not ambushed.

The results? Documentation completeness improved 67% without a single point-of-care interruption. Providers prefer it because they’re in control. The documentation is better because it’s thoughtful, not reactive.

The Workflow Integration

Traditional prospective risk adjustment bolts onto clinical workflow like a badly attached spoiler on a Honda Civic. Looks technological, actually just creates drag.

We embedded prospective prompts into existing routines. The huddle sheet that nurses already print? Now includes risk adjustment gaps. The rooming process where vitals get taken? Medical assistants mention chronic conditions needing reassessment. The after-visit summary providers already complete? Templates pre-populated with HCC-relevant fields.

No new systems. No additional steps. Just intelligent enhancement of workflows that already exist. Providers don’t even realize they’re doing risk adjustment. They’re just documenting more completely because the workflow guides them there.

The Failure Metrics

Every prospective risk adjustment program measures capture rates. None measure provider burnout, which is what actually determines success.

We track “documentation burden score”: how many extra clicks, alerts, and interruptions our prospective system creates. When that number goes up, capture rates go down. Every time. Providers rebel against systems that make their work harder, regardless of revenue impact.

The alert fatigue index matters more than alert response rate. If providers see more than five risk adjustment prompts daily, they stop reading any of them. Our sweet spot? Two strategic interventions per provider per day. Quality over quantity wins.

Track when documentation actually happens. If it’s getting added after visits through queries and addendums, your prospective program has already failed. True prospective capture happens during the original encounter, not through retrospective fixes labeled “prospective.”

Your Prospective Reality Test

Check your EHR audit logs for next Tuesday. Count how many risk adjustment alerts fire between 8 AM and noon, prime patient care time. If it’s more than 20, you’re training providers to ignore you.

Look at your last month’s HCC captures. What percentage came from original documentation versus addendums? If more than 30% required clarification, you’re doing retrospective cleanup, not prospective capture.

Ask five providers to describe your prospective risk adjustment program without using the words “annoying,” “interrupting,” or “burden.” If they can’t, you’ve built a system they’re actively working to avoid.

The secret to prospective risk adjustment isn’t sophisticated technology or real-time alerts. It’s respecting clinical workflow and supporting providers when they have bandwidth, not when they’re drowning. Prepare them for success before visits start. Then get out of their way and let them practice medicine. The documentation will follow naturally, completely, and without a single angry Friday afternoon phone call.

Tags: Prospective Risk Adjustment
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